Ann: Weekly Drilling Report - Ungani 4, page-23

One of the bots had a hernia and tried to sell a few shares for 22 cents, after closing, before the auction.

Jod, you don't know me, neither do you mention that the offer could be made in the middle of the desert with 500 km to walk without water (In that case I'm sure I would select a bottle of water), so you would be guessing if you try to predict my behaviour.
Guessing is always fraud with danger.
Back to 50/50??

However if I thought there was only a 50% chance, I would have dumped yesterday all my shares and you could have seen today 22 cents. .

As I mentioned last night the volume being traded is very small, even today.

I would say that if the log results come back with a very favourable and promising report, the volume will change.
If the pressure survey indicates communication with U1+2 that also will make a difference.

However I am sane enough to understand that what people utter on Hotcopper does make zilch difference on the SP.