FAR 2.91% 50.0¢ far limited

Arbitration results tipping/crystal ball comp

  1. 13,945 Posts.
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    Only 7 months to run to the nominal deadline of June 2018 so lets turn uncertainty into an activity.

    I thought I would pose a tipping competition and structure it with a probability rating - put your %probability and $ in the appropriate places in bold. Add your own scenario and your probability if you think there is a different outcome.  Sum of probability must = 100%

    1.  JV Status Quo.  Far unsuccessful at PE arbitration. 20%

    2. SNE sale or Takeover that prematurely ends arbitration process. 68% $600M (SNE)   $1B (WPL FAR T/O)

    3. FAR victory at Arbitration with cash remedy from COP. 10%  $50M

    4. FAR victory at Arbitration with full  PE reset and WPL exit. 2%
 
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