ARU 2.86% 18.0¢ arafura rare earths ltd

well what a week, page-4

  1. 1,258 Posts.
    Schnuckel,

    starting point for estimated revenues is way conservative apart from uranium

    REO current price 15A$/kg (12.85A$ 2012/3 assumption)
    Phosacid current price min. 555A$/t (444A$/t assumption)
    CaCl2 current price 265A$/t (111A$/t assumption)
    U3O8 current price 87A$/lb (111A$/lb assumption)

    At the given quantities:

    518mA$ rev. at current prices
    410mA$ rev. at 2012/3 estimated conservative prices

    +108mA$ in opCF which allows a 4-5years payback at conservatively estimated costs.

    If you use this prices for the first year in 2012 and use the same costs of 360mA$ for the starting point and escalate both - rev and costs at 3% p.a. you'll get a NPV of 1.1 bln$ at 750mA$ capex.

    So I don't know what you're actually talking about?

    Lenni

    PS: Schnuckel used to be a very big shareholder in ARU but sold 80% of his holdings this week ...
 
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