If they are so hard to identify you are foolish for pulling numbers out of the air and saying that the dow will fall by such a large margin when because when it very clearly doesn't you look a fool.
No dramas with you being bearish or putting forward your point of view... but it is beginning to look like fear mongering and that added to the fact that you have been wrong on several occasions before make your certainty on this a little laughable.
It is similar to the boy who cried wolf...
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