I've got money that trump doesn't get a second term.
1. Financial instability approaching the world. Even without Trump's tax plan the current yield situation was always going to be poison for whoever got in approaching 2020.
2. His tax plan will accelerate a blow-out in US debt. To a point where it actually starts to matter. If the Tea Party rises again it could resurrect the GOP.
3. His age, he's at a point where random medical events and a level of dementia are expected (Really should ban over 65's from first terms).
4. Continuing demographic shift towards Democratic presidents. Hillary was a terrible candidate but still got a significant popular vote. It's highly unlikely the same energy of the Republican 2020 campaign can embolden swing states again.
5. He has a track record of bouncing between projects. He'll have had his ride and the constant battle over his reputation will take its tole.
