NAB 0.15% $39.18 national australia bank limited

cba,nab,anz etc expensive or not, page-29

  1. 1,121 Posts.
    I have encountered approx 40-42 different
    synthetic eto option strategies, this excludes
    utilising other derivatives such as futures etc

    The Aussie option market is to illiquid really.
    However does provide a valuable tool to generate
    profits & manage risk

    You can adopt different stradegies depending on how
    u view the market ,the sector & the specfic stock concerned.

    My view with the banks is mixed we are at an important
    point maybe defining

    Both NAB & CBA are now trading below 200 day moving average on 15 yr chart

    However short term both are trading not far from recent support levels which gives some credence to a short term rally

    At best I reckon u will see banks range trade over the medium term as they provide solid income straem for investors ,

    So with Nab for example u would expect it to hold around $28.50 ,but if it doesnt all hell would break loose
    it could fall 50% of recent range which is back to 09/01`lows of $25.50

    now if I sold say 10 $29 jan puts got 60c on friday
    (im effectively buying @ $28.50 )I the buy 35 $27.50
    jan puts @ 17c (im selling selling 3.5x as many at $27.15)

    Hence I am trying to manage risk

    I really dont care what happens with NAB (as long as Goblin is still loosing money) However possible senerios

    If it rallies so what, Cost netual & im not prepared to punt on the upside there a far better stocks than the banks

    If it breaks $28.50 Im betting it will fall quickly
    & Ill trade out the volitilty with a capped profit( u have to remeber if it does break support put prices will be at a premium id sooner be set now)

    If the stock is trading @ $27.15 at close of contact & I havent done nothing Im out of pocket $1.35 or on 10 contracts $13500, im unlikely to do nothing but I do understabd the downside

    anyway I hope that helps & im sorry not prepared to offer advise on your own ANZ sitauation other than

    do the opposite to "loser"
 
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