On what basis are you determining the $5.00, it would appear to be be a nice round figure which looks good but no science behind it. I agree that the aGVHD is not the billion $ business like the others but when the 180 day results are successful it is proof that the science is sound and that the other products could also work. Hence I do not think that any forecast at this stage is necessary or productive.
MSB trading, page-550
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