The stockpile amounts dropping was semi-expected due to the strip ratio increasing to over 5 for this month, however you're correct, they were a bit optimistic in their previous monthly announcement.
Here is the 'to date' strip ratio and AISC for BLK on a graph, with data reconciled below. I've also put the June quarter 'expected' in and it seems to line up with historical for this company. The variance from the line is likely caused by recovery which was the major disappointment for me in march but didnt expect the market to react like that.
Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7 Column 8 Column 9 0 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Jan Feb March Total Mar 18 Jun-18 1 oz 15720 15619 14922 6498.2 6713.3 7419.2 20631 21000 2 Grade 1.281 1.4 1.135 1.36 1.542 1.597 1.504 1.6 3 AISC 1758 2236 1882 1158 912 1197 1092 1150 4 Milled 416.1 379.4 443 163 150 165 477 450 5 Rec 91.7% 91.5% 92.3% 91.2% 90.6% 87.8% 89.4% 92 6 SR 11.7 26.8 10.2 3.6 1.5 5.2 2.5 4.5
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Ann: Record Quarter of Gold Production for Blackham, page-193
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