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helmenesh

1,195 Posts.

1035

15/04/18

15:36

Post #: 32464975
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Originally posted by tradealot ↑

Hi Helmenesh

Good question. I personally love gap up's & down's, as the outcome for tradng in very predictable and profitable. Gaps 101 stats - 92% of gaps are closed within 30 days, with 96% at some point in future, leaving the balance of 4% that never close.

Lets put sgq under the microscope - Could the gap at 6.5-7.5 close. Based on stats, there's a 50-50 chance this will happen at some point - that's 4% balance greater than 30 days is still open and 4% never closes.

Could sgq hit 6.5 cps again? Yes is the answer, however it would take lots of factors for this to occur. To reach a 6.5 cps pricepoint again, sgq would be loathed by investor, need a cr, have had absolutly no exploration success for ages, nickel would have to be out of favour, etc. That unloved point companies reach, is actually the best time to take a position, provided everything checks out. And with many hundreds of listed exploration companies on the asx, there's always an opportunity for great returns awaiting aware investors.

Helmenesh, I carn't see any of the triggers necessary to close that 6.5 gap in the short term occurring (6-9 month's) - The sound footing sqg has developed sees it in good stead for the foreseeable future.

The odds of a 30 cent shareprice occuring again, outway's the 6 cps gap closing by 50:1 imo.

Cheers
Tradealot

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Thank you Tradealot, good summation and yes I agree; the positive outlook in your second last paragraph is the more likely scenario for the reasons you outlined.

Cheers,
helmenesh

SGQ Price at posting: 15.0¢ Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Held
3 Upvote

0 Great analysis

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