SRZ 14.3% 1.6¢ stellar resources limited

tin news, page-10

  1. nk
    3,095 Posts.
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    tin cracked AUS28,000, no doubt caught up in the nickel inspired base metals rally

    the C2 costs are $18,000 per tonne. Fast Start production is 1250 tonnes pa and the original PFS was 4,200pa

    at current tin prices using C2 cash flow pa is $12million for FS and $42million PFS

    not quite good enough for debt financed development

    Capex is around $45million FS and $110million PFS

    However at AUS$35,000 tin price FS cash flow pa is $21million and PFS is $71million.

    That means debt financed development is very doable, though there is still a big chunk of equity needed. JV makes sense, SRZ shareholders get a 50% free carry via JV and debt

    In 2009 to 2011 tin rallied from US11,000 to 30,000 over 2 years. Tin stocks went nuts.



    It is for this reason that I believe that a sustained tin price rally may produce exceptional returns using a JV model. That would imply SRZ value closer to $100million rather than $10million, or say 15c a share after further dilution.

    Lets see!
 
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