The main difference between the 2 IMO, AVZ appears to have a dwindling supply leading to illiquidity for a big boy to move in, without moving the market....I have always believed in a multiple player JV/TO scenario, the more shares the future owners hold at JV/TO the less ‘premium’ it will cost, I believe they have been accumulating for a while over nominee accounts to hide their intentions and to ensure they had enough to push the SP through the resistance and into the stop losses....I was watching this video a few weeks ago, and it got me thinking of how this could be applied to AVZ...unfortunately I’m noob and full of doubt and void of experience, or I would have trusted my hunch of this happening, sold and bought in lower...time well tell of course...DYOR, IMO, blah blah...
I’d be keen to know the thinking of others..
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