FLT's current market cap is $2.36bn. net debt at 30/06/07 was -90.2m, so EV = $2.27bn
FLT's EBITDA excluding abnormals was $175m in FY07. Assume it grows by 15% in FY08, gives FY08 EBITDA = $201.3m
so FLT's EV / EBITDA for FY08 is 11.3x , and that's after the share price has fallen from above $30 to $23
so giving Stella a very reasonable 10x FY08 EBITDA sale price, gives EV for Stella of $2.2bn based on $220m FY08 EBITDA forecast.
based on CVC's previous offer price of $1.6bn, that values Stella at 7.3x FY08 EBITDA, which would be half what FLT was trading at when it's sp was $32.
MFS Price at posting:
0.0¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
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