Yeah but your mate Value Trader - who could be technically correct - is missing the point - right now bad debts are minimal, and right now APT is growing 400% p/a - and it could be years before his thesis plays out if ever - (by which time APT is up what 100, 500, 1000%??)
If the situation deteriorates it will not happen overnight and there will be time to reassess...
Just my take, but seriously you can spend all of your life worrying about outlier events that never happen - sure, don’t put all your eggs into this or any stock, provision for possibilities but sheesh...
This with what we currently know is a darn no brainer...
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