IMO it is very unlikely that to increase production the CAPEX would remain the same for each GWh you expand. My thoughts:
I'm sure there is more than the above but it seems pretty obvious to me that to scale up isn't going to cost exactly the same for each GWh of capacity.
- Equipment used in the 1GWh setup may be capable of higher throughput. For example a single B&W Megtec Gigacoater can do 3GWh a year.
- Additional equipment leased or purchased to increase capacity will be discounted due to existing business relationships and number of products onsite.
- As time goes on machines become more efficient with a higher output in the same footprint. As the facility grows the new machinery will become more capable (and likely cheaper based on output)
- There would be certain initial build items that would require limited spend during an upgrade to 3GWh. Possibly things like control systems, networking, lunch/tea rooms, bathroom facilities (depending on shifts etc)
- There would be things that would only need to be built or established once during the initial 1GWh fit-out. Alarm system, training and procedure manuals, licenses, approvals, HR systems, Online presence etc
- Typically when you scale up things become cheaper. (Economies of scale)
@spid81 How accurate do you think your assumption is that for each GWh of production capacity it will cost US$53M? Are you basing this on anything apart from a basic calculation?
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