Yep! like all your points.
~
Have been talking to my mirror. Opinions below are mere 'thinking out loud':
1. CFDA is very close.
2.Followed by factory (mfg-facilities) production clearance
3.There are only 6m to 8million (of listed 105m shares) in loose hands out of total issued 314m. The rest have gone to safe hands.
4. *08 May 2019
These two events have the same 'surprising' date:
i) IPO.HK
( btw 8/2 to 8/5/19, if go-ahead)
and
ii)U$30m revenue milestone
Must hit it within 12 mths of asx 8/5/17 IPO
to earns 60m perf.shares (30m/ Yacov, 30m/mgt)
(I believe Yacov wants to achieve both goals 4 ( esp 4i) well before 8May19 to max IPO MCap and share price.
Btw, we don't mind if Yacov missed 60m perf.shares by a week or a months; less dilution =)
Q:
4. When does GYIM needs to start production?
i) Factory max capacity atm = 1 million units/yr, or 200oo/week
(50 employees hired and ready:
Factory manager, engineers, technicians, testers, etc)
ii)To produce U$30m revenue under 70%GYIM, you need
$43m x 70%=U$30m
iii) U$30m x 15*= U$450m = A$600m
=A$1.50 c to $1.75 a share ,
based on Gyim.IPO only ( excl other subsi)
re
15.97 multiple/#factor
https://nz.finance.yahoo.com/quote/IRTC/key-statistics/
iii) U$43m ,
B2B price@U$150 each
= 287,000 units
= 14.5 weeks, at optimum level, no downtime,
Say 16 weeks to 20 weeks
(give allowance for downtime - Christmas/NY and Chinese NY)
5. IPO. HK
Asx, 8/8/18, 6-9 months, proposed dates 8/2/19 - 8/5/2019
6)Production starts dates. When?
i)My guess:
08/11/18 to 08/4/19 = 20 weeks
*08/12/18 to 08/3/19 = 16 weeks
08/12/18 to 08/4/18 = 16 weeks
08/12/18 to 8/5/19 = 20 weeks
ii) That means if Yacov wants to achieve both goals (4i&ii) before 08 May 2019, then production must commence no later than 8 Dec 2018,
say between 8Nov 2018 - 8Dec 2018).
iii) Next questions:
Before production can commence we must get Cfada and factory clearances. When?
Why DSM?
7. Director of Sales/Marketing role
i) Looking at JD & package, Sale/Marketing Director (SMD), 70%Gyim is likely to end up poaching a SMD with existing customer-lists, from the likes of Siemens, GE, Philips, Medtronics.
Throw in a few 'cheap' GYIM IPO share/options and one of the best in town will come:
MBA +10 years sales experience in med-device,
+Knows how to sell specialty products, focus on added value
Creative mind, generates opportunities."
ii)The top 10 medical device companies (2018) in China
https://www.proclinical.com/blogs/2018-5/the-top-10-medical-device-companies-2018
iii) DSM post #35040710 ,
" Defines new growth opportunities and turns them into business. *Establishes contacts with local industry and decision makers, is aware of the total market.
*Defines key programs and works closely together with local area sales managers and local sales managers and local application development engineers of the different business units, with his colleague Market Managers, Product and Development engineers and production facilities.
8.When will DSM assume his role?
i)Put in another words:
Why do Gyim intend to hire DSM at this stage of the game to implement the sales strategy?
(...when we are still waiting for cfda & factory,...yet =)
ii)Possible dates imo
Before Cfda? After Cfda?
Before factory clearance? After factory clearance?
Before ' confirmed orders'? After 'confirmed orders'
Before production? After production?
9 CFDA & factory
Based on points #1 to 8, imo Yacov is 'expecting' Cfada & factory clearance in Sept-Oct-Nov, in order to commence production in Nov/Dec 2018.
My guess is Aug/Sept/Oct for both Cfda and factory clearances.
If IPO.HK takes us from 18c to 28c (+50%), then imo next few weeks will be worth waiting for.
Possibles:
Cfda TH, 28c => 40/45c ( A$150m MC)
Factory TH, 45c =>50/60c ( A$200m MC)
Sp to trend up from 27/28c to $1.00 to $1.50, before IPO, in Feb-May19
(Sp rises will not be a straight line; 'games played' are on again.
Hold tight to your precious )
Aimo. Dyor.
G
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ps,
10. Pre-orders & Confirm-orders
i) Pre-orders
Buyers must confirm orders 3 months ( 12 weeks) before production commences
ii) Bankers/Insurer arrangement
iii) Gmv pays fees to bankers/insurers; say 1-5% of orders?
iv) Distributors/Buyers pay invoice$ in full before production will start
*From Orders to Finished products:
approx. 3 months (12 weeks, from Yacov interview, asx update or qrtly)
11. Pre-Orders ( or back orders),
i) *aka MOUs , Y2018 to 2022
ii) Primza@U$150 ea
Year 1 , in order of asx dates:
Approx 1000,00o ( 1 million) units,
= 100k BSliverlake + 200k SBoletong +600k Taiwan/India + USA/Cyprus
iii) Approx 8 mil units 'pre-orders', over 4 years,
U$1.2 Billions = A$1.6 Billions
Good night folks.
Aimo. Dyor. Gltah. Others' views welcome.
G
~
Ann: Proposed IPO of China Subsidiary in Hong Kong, page-262
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