good question
certainly the repayments are greater than the actual income
as I said, if they can meet the repayments
but here are my calculations........
To meet the repayments of 117m EUROS by 31mar09
there are a few factors
rental income
loan income
loan repayments
asset sales
plus non cash
financial instrument gains (was 32m full year)
property revaluations (expect a loss)
for 12 months I estimate the following
Rental income
Full year = 51.986m dollars
half year = 26.29 (15.4m euros)
ie expected forward 12 months
= $52m
CRE income
full year = 28.897m
half year = 7.4m (4.6m euros)
ie expected forward 12 months
= $42m - 10% from paid off
ie probably $38m
Ie CRE + property = $80m ($47m euros)
Loan repayments
Jan 2009 = 18m Pounds (22m Euros)
(34m euros paid back Mar 08)
Asset Sales
??? who knows
ie all these $69m euros
excluding asset sales
ie 48m euros short fall
this would be something like one big asset sale
ij
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