Your comment prompted me to wonder what are we likely to learn from the H1FY19 Announcements circa 20 February 2019. When I constructed a view for all of FY19, it would have been much more useful to guesstimate SP reaction between now and 30 February 2019 if I had separated it into a view of the two half year . This is because H1FY19 Announcements include a forecast for H2FY19, and for FY20. These are critical for FA based valuations.
Next time I spend a day at home because of the weather, or whatever, I'll consider constructing a view on the two half years of FY19. To that end, I would appreciate it if Pbawley, or others of his ilk who build bottom-up revenue estimates, to put forward the revenue picture for H1FY19 and H2FY19. Any opinin on NPAT margin would help develop an NPAT
I would be inclined to expect a $550M - $600M range, and NPAT of 5.5% for each half year to reach my forecast of $1,150M for FY19. Bottom-up information may suggest that H1 would be skewed to the lower end of that range, and H2 skewed to the top of the range.
If we can put forward a cogently argued support for a better set of NWH Revenue and NPAT metrics, we could venture a new target SP by 30 February 2019.
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Last
$3.16 |
Change
0.100(3.27%) |
Mkt cap ! $1.445B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$3.10 | $3.18 | $3.09 | $3.016M | 960.1K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 482 | $3.16 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$3.18 | 4156 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 482 | 3.160 |
1 | 3194 | 3.130 |
1 | 962 | 3.120 |
2 | 1321 | 3.110 |
1 | 3000 | 3.100 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
3.180 | 4156 | 1 |
3.190 | 5000 | 1 |
3.200 | 3012 | 4 |
3.210 | 16878 | 2 |
3.250 | 1203 | 2 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 15/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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