NCZ new century resources limited

Recovey, page-34

  1. 113 Posts.
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    So back of the envelope calculations per lb: Zinc Price USD 112c
    C3 Costs  USD 50c
    EBIT 62c
    Interest (10% on $50m say)    1c
    Tax @ 30%   18c
    NPAT   USD 43c
    NPAT AUD@72c 59c
       
    x 260,000,oookg x 2.2 (convert from lb)

    = $337.4m NPAT AUD fully diluted over 620m shares
    = 54c eps in aud or currently a pe of just over 2

    PE of 5 = $2.50 per share, share price
    PE of 10 = $5.00 per share, share price

    These numbers assume an up and running steady state operation assuming all goes well and recoveries as expected, so ignore ramp ups etc.  A rough double check against the feasibility study gives me confidence these numbers  are in the ballpark even if I have left something out. That looks cheap to me, even allowing for cost overruns. Even falling to AUD$1 per lb the numbers still look good - see below.  Nevertheless DYOR.

    NCZ NPV.JPG
 
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