fmg sp ignores high risks, page-8

  1. 6,316 Posts.
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    MikeMennell,

    I think you have your numbers wrong.

    Mainland China's Population: 1,325,310,666
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    BEIJING, Jan.7 - China's population and family planning minister said here on Friday that China will work to limit its mainland population below 1.37 billion by 2010.

    Zhang Weiqing, minister in charge of the National Population and Family Planning Commission, stressed that China will keep its family planning policy in place to maintain a low birth level.

    "But demographically speaking, China will face another upsurge of population growth in the coming five years, and China's first single-child generation is about to enter reproductive age then, which make it all the more difficult to maintain a low birth level in the coming years," said Zhang.
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    Your Quote:

    IMO IO will peak in price (not demand) in 2009, stabilise for 2 years and fall steadily (maybe quicker) after that.
    ------------------------------------------------------------
    MikeMennell, i don't know about the contract prices that FMG will be receiving, however i can asuure you that BHP - RIO will command top dollar for future I/O contracts. Otherwise, its onto the Spot price market they will go.

    If Tollhurst believes that prices will taper of, then they obviously didn't read Chip Goodyear's thesis a few years ago when he was CEO of BHP in regard to the Commodities Supercycle and the changing demographics according to Supply and Demand.

    I have no concern in regard to FMG's shareprice as i am not a holder.

    However, in regards to what is happening on a global scale I/O has along way to go imo.

    Cheers markco2
 
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