Interesting tactic.
Dump a popular PM. Get flogged in the polls.
Go to by-election in ex PM seat, one of the safest in the land. Get flogged in the by-election in unprecedented massacre.
Assess the information.
Conclude massive anger over dumping of popular ex PM.
Blame the popular ex PM.
Genius really. Never mind. The electorate will explain it to them more fully, very, very soon.
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