A surplus means the government is taking money out of the economy, that would definitely contribute to creating recessionary conditions.
You claimed government spending would plunge us in to a recession. Tax increases, negative gearing and franking credit changes aren't government spending so are irrelevant to that claim, although I do think they would contribute to recessionary conditons unless balanced out by government spending which delivers jobs. Ie, infrastructure.
Spending in 2008 also helped mitigate a recession at that time, which would have been far worse to have than now given the worldwide economic position.
The housing market has needed deflation ever since Howard created the conditions for the speculative bubble to flourish with his CGT changes. That is the real reason we are most likely heading for a recession and successive governments (of which Labor have only been in power for 8 years out of 18) have done nothing to mitigate it.
