Two hurdles before we can get to the prize: the leadership battle + CR.
From my extremely crude calculations, I have made a probability tree with likely (80%) and less likely (20%) binary outcome variables.
I am really interested to see what other people would replace my percentages with for the outcome variables, please share if you have any opinions.
Odds of everything going perfectly = 51.2%
Odds of a slower rerate = 12.8%
Ann: Appointment of Chairman, Company Secretary & Directors, page-29
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