FDL flinders diamonds limited

this is reason to take a stand, page-5

  1. 17,316 Posts.
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    Hard to answer .......but Ill have a crack at it

    Value depends...what they intend to do with the resource??

    Based on 400mt (my guess)....may need to be blended

    So I will go with 300mt....

    A JV situation....30% profit or $20t
    $6bln at 5mt p.a
    $100 mill p.a x production years
    PE of 5 would be $500 mill MC
    Or around 4 times current SP = 40-50c


    Sell as a project and walk away
    .....highly unlikely imo
    maybe $2t
    $2 x 300,000,000 = ($600 mill cash)
    MC maybe $400 mill or 45-55c
    however no income so SP would be erratic to say the least
    would need to use the cash wisely and fast.


    They go it alone....maybe $40t after costs
    = $200 mill p.a
    PE of 5 $1bln
    about 8 times current SP
    Or 90c -$1 per share.

    Inferred maybe by end 2008
    JORC a further 4-6 months one would think.

    Figures and guesstimates late on a Sunday hurts my head...but hope this gives some guidance.

    All just my opinion....
    SP could be much higher or lower than stated above.

    Cheers

 
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