To try and guess a number on the WSH/Wardie scenario. Given the oil found in WSH there must be 40 cents value in TDO. If Wardie comes in on prognosis I would add $1 value to the combined story - that is with no allowance for the upside that the fields are connected.
Given the seismics and the location of the Wardie prospect there could be a 30% probability of a good result. That is 30 cents for Wardie on a risked basis - that would put 70 cents on TDO while the drill is in progress.
However, it all depends on your view on the great uncertainity of the truth machine.
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2 | 299551 | 0.067 |
2 | 73001 | 0.066 |
1 | 76923 | 0.065 |
1 | 200000 | 0.064 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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0.072 | 100000 | 1 |
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