Originally posted by BkrDzn
Reading thoroughly is a virtue I guess. Page 14 in the CAN preso you quote is about the total Australian market opportunity i.e. what they estimate to be the value of the whole Australian market, using stats from the ODC, not their forecast of revenue to the company. The 2017, 18 and 26 figures you quote as CAN's claims of revenues are in-fact the estimated market value for medicinal cannabis in Australia. It states clearly that the market needs ~20,000m2 to meet the first 2 year expected market opportunity of which CAN (at the time) proposes to supply ~600 to 700m2 of ~3.25% of the market. Assuming Canadian pricing at that date, CAN's initial facility was presumed to be able to generate revenues of ~$42m once running as full speed, not the
market value figures you are misquoting as CAN's claims of revenue. Year one is 2017 as its the first year since legislation was passed allowing broad cultivation and medicinal products.
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HC needs a bad analysis button to me thinks.
BkrDzn, thanks for correcting me. I obviously had issues reading, copying & pasting my research in a word document & missed the future MV estimate/s.
Initial demand of up to 8,000kg – more than A$100m potential revenue in year one – growing to A$380m by 2018 & A$1.3bn in 2026
Let's have a look at those numbers & perhaps correct me if I am wrong here too:
Medcan Australia’s BDM, Gareth Ball adds,
“With patient access still being a huge issue in Australia, an international agreement of magnitude provides a platform for an industry pusharound Australian patient access. Medcan’s vision has, and always will be, to provide the highestlevel of Medicinal Cannabis products to Australian patients. Agreements like this allow Australian Medicinal Cannabis companies the ability to operate with a level of profitability as the push forbetter patient access in Australia continues.”
The term of the SCA is a period of 1 year, in which it is intended for Medcan to initially supply Bonify with
3000kgs of dried flower
So am I correct to assume that QBL will be supplying almost 40% of the Australian market requirements OS in the next year with just the Bonify deal? It will be interesting how much value add the Pharmocann will add to that.