EL
I hear you, however I subscribe to the Buffets theory diversification is for those that dont know what they are doing. (something like that)
Seriously though, my strategy when investing heavily in a stock is the following
1) good cash backing is a must
2) strong revenue
3) dealing in an area that has revenue upside
4) conservative and communicative management
cooper gets a tick on all four
with cooper i think there is a couple of free ride levels
One, CB basin assets plus cash plus CB exploration value - around 60 cents,so anythig below this is very low risk
Two, CB plus cash plus free carry value of Bargou high impact wells - value about 75- 80cents
Three - free ride one or two high impact wells (one if no CB success , two if approx 500K CB barrels discovered).
I think cooper is risky if one falls in love with the stock and carries through all high impact wells if they fail. I qwill also be less comfortbale to go into high impact wells without any more CB success
I am very willing to sell cooper at any stage if I feel it has overshot its value. whether its 75 cents 90 cents or 2 dollars. I sold during Kurnia and I will do it again with limited emotion. However at present I see my investment in cooper as low risk, despite the companies size I think it is less risky than some blue chips imo
I do appreciate your advice and it is true that anything could happen, but I am also using 75% capital gain money which I have until end of June to make more on or net out.
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