APT 0.00% $66.47 afterpay limited

Today I shorted it, page-75

  1. 1,738 Posts.
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    Warnie you are looking at payback periods wrong.

    It'd only be 56 days if there were no intermediate payments. But there is a payment every fortnight. If no one makes any payments earlier than required then the theoretical average payback period (not including transactions with first payment on the spot) is (14 + 28 + 42 + 56)/4 = 35.

    @mal85 missed something here too - in the US, absolutely every transaction for first time and repeat customers must have first payment up-front. I believe this may be to reduce risk & increase return, and possibly offer lower rates to merchants in the US. The average payback for these loans is (0 + 14 +28 + 42)/4 = 21. This implies a 17x annual capital velocity. Very profitable.

    Note even in Australia, all in-store purchases must have first payment up front, all first-time customers must have first payment up front, and for some larger transactions online e.g. > $1000 for repeat customers - must have first payment up front.

    Very profitable.
 
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