APT 0.00% $66.47 afterpay limited

Profit taking, page-48

  1. 1,738 Posts.
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    Assuming 4:1 debt:equity ratio & their current 12x/year lending rate, and not taking into consideration current equity levels,

    Let's look at scenarios of different capital raisings:
    Capital raisedPossible debt leverage (capital x 4)Total Afterpay funding availableGMV funding ability ( x 12)
    1$200 million$800 million$1 billion$12 billion
    2$400 million$1.6 billion$2 billion$24 billion
    3$500 million$2 billion$2.5 billion$30 billion
    4$1 billion$4 billion$5 billion$60 billion
    5$2 billion$8 billion$10 billion$120 billion
    6$3 billion$12 billion$15 billion$180 billion
    7$4 billion$16 billion$20 billion$240 billion


    Based on the above you can see they won't need more than ~$400 million equity to fund $20 billion GMV. And looking at their equity position they have $340 million balance sheet equity, or $230 million if you take out non-current assets & intangibles. With that $230 mil they can already borrow $920 million on top without raising capital, and fund $14 billion in annualised sales. And that's exactly what they're doing, they have $520 million in A&NZ facilities and are getting another $420 million US facility. This will give them > $10 billion annualised sales funding capacity. They could do another raise of $200 million right now if they wanted to to cover themselves for $20 billion GMV and dilution would be ~3-4%.
 
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