Assuming 4:1 debt:equity ratio & their current 12x/year lending rate, and not taking into consideration current equity levels,
Let's look at scenarios of different capital raisings:
Capital raised Possible debt leverage (capital x 4) Total Afterpay funding available GMV funding ability ( x 12) 1 $200 million $800 million $1 billion $12 billion 2 $400 million $1.6 billion $2 billion $24 billion 3 $500 million $2 billion $2.5 billion $30 billion 4 $1 billion $4 billion $5 billion $60 billion 5 $2 billion $8 billion $10 billion $120 billion 6 $3 billion $12 billion $15 billion $180 billion 7 $4 billion $16 billion $20 billion $240 billion
Based on the above you can see they won't need more than ~$400 million equity to fund $20 billion GMV. And looking at their equity position they have $340 million balance sheet equity, or $230 million if you take out non-current assets & intangibles. With that $230 mil they can already borrow $920 million on top without raising capital, and fund $14 billion in annualised sales. And that's exactly what they're doing, they have $520 million in A&NZ facilities and are getting another $420 million US facility. This will give them > $10 billion annualised sales funding capacity. They could do another raise of $200 million right now if they wanted to to cover themselves for $20 billion GMV and dilution would be ~3-4%.
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