There were very large and organised communist political parties in Indonesia, Phillipines and Malaysia at the time of the Vietnam war. An early communist victory in Vietnam likely would have contributed to one or most other Southeast Asian countries also becoming communist.
The American/Australian war effort had a real effect.
Also do not discount the Will off the South Vietnamese people who didn’t not want to be dictated to by North Vietnamese and they fought long and hard for independence from the North and Communism.
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