US markets up 2% after Trump delays tariffs. Today should see at least a 2% uplift in BAL. I am going with 5%.
Reasons to hold: 1. $145m to $170m in H2 sales 2. FY20 projection will likely be $290m to $340m from Aust sales and possibly ~$15m to $30m from ViPlus. 3. If SAMR lands pre H1 FY20, we would have a half year of China sales (add estimated 25% uplift to sales for FY20). 4. FY20 sales could be in the range of $305m (no SAMR) to $463m ($370m x 1.25 with SAMR).
Big upside if you believe. $500m for FY21 is a real possibility should SAMR occur soon.