ARL 1.05% 48.0¢ ardea resources limited

GODOLPHIN (Pertinent news & discussion prior to the IPO), page-45

  1. 3,323 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 1886
    Hi Mate
    There has not been a material appreciation of share price since the Godolphin IPO announcement, thus it is reasonable to assume that Spinout of NSW was always priced into ARL from day 1 of the ARL IPO.

    I think it is also reasonable to assume that the NSW assets have always been priced in at very low to almost no value, therefore I do not expect much of a change in the ARL share price when the spinout occurs.

    It is my opinion that the spinout of NSW from ARL does not diminish ARL, I feel that it enhances the prospect of ARL, my reasons are.
    - ARL becomes less diversified and random geographically, reducing holding cost and resource allocation.
    - ARL can focus intently on the task at hand being WA and its resources.
    - ARL has always been known as a nickel and cobalt company, laterite and possibly sulfide.
    - ARL partnership suitors will want an uncomplicated streamlined nickel cobalt play, this is facilitated largely but not entirely by the spinout.
    - It is very hard to price ARL, diversified and unrelated ore reserves are rarely priced fairly because they are not easily understood.
    - ARL is not easily understood, its complicated, requiring higher risk tolerance to compensate for unknowns.

    There may be a price change in ARL, this could in fact be an uprate as opposed what people may think.
    I am a student of this unpredictable beast, we may be emerging with more predictability and that is good.
    RED

 
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