Alan, I think the stats show more or less, that the duration of a bear market is proportional to the length of the preceding bull market. Since we have had what may be one of the longest bulls in history (depending on how you measure these things), it follows that our current bear market (if that's what it is, depending on how you define these things) will be prolonged also.
I must say as an old timer, I've been amazed at how many are still posting on HC. I expected activity to drop off quite quickly as the newbies get their hands burned...plenty of time yet for that to happen....