A few assumptions in this including a much higher demand for lithium and subsequent price increase. Stage 2 and stage 3 total = 12ktpa (not including pilot plant, not including tanopah). Assuming a price of $15k per tonne $5k opex = $120M annually. 90% for AGY. Taxes and USD/AUD hedge cancel themselves out. So we end up with $108M = ~10.5 cents per share. P/E of 15 makes that $1.58.
Now i definitely would not invest based on that above 2 minute calculation, but if is definitely feasible that the SP could go up to $3. The price of lithium could actually be higher than that, opex could be less (currently they have mentioned $4.6k and i rounded up to 5k) as that doesn't include increased efficiency and potash sales which I think are likely to occur. Even at current lithium prices of $10kpt it still puts us at 80c at that P/E. ORE had a P/E of over 20 when there share price went over $7 (currently 12), so thats another factor. Who knows, we may even have 20ktpa in a few years. One thing I am more certain on is that without permits or funding the share price will not be $3.
All just my opinion and I am well aware there are holes in the above, but you get the idea and you asked the question.
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argosy minerals limited
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Last
3.4¢ |
Change
0.000(0.00%) |
Mkt cap ! $49.50M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | 0 |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 30000 | 3.7¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
3.3¢ | 150000 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 30000 | 0.037 |
9 | 15702 | 0.036 |
2 | 45571 | 0.035 |
7 | 365737 | 0.034 |
5 | 249574 | 0.033 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.034 | 120625 | 2 |
0.035 | 133399 | 2 |
0.036 | 557554 | 4 |
0.037 | 516946 | 2 |
0.038 | 359375 | 3 |
Last trade - 16.30pm 04/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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