The reason I got behind this company is 1. Long-term potash thematic 2. Unique scale of the project.
I think the company offers high potential returns but that comes with some key risks 1. technical 2. funding.
The company has done a good job proving up the project from a technical perspective but I am worried about the funding side of things.
James3600 you are correct that they could project finance the development with a 70/30 debt/equity split, however project financing facilities become quite punitive beyond a 50/50 debt/equity split (i.e. cash sweeps/lockups, high interest and fees and convertibles). Project finance debt providers, like Taurus for example, are notorious for providing extremely expensive project financing facilities which can strangle a company's shareholder returns over the medium-term. Because of this I would like to see at least $300m of the project funded by equity (even at say a 20% discount). Having Aus Super as a cornerstone investor may help to facilitate such a raising. Ultimately this will enable a reasonably priced debt facility to be put in place.
This key to facilitating a $300m+ equity raise is to get the sp up over the next 12-months to reduce dilution. Hopefully can get it back up towards a $1/sh!
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Agrimin and Newhaul announce potash joint venture, page-8
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Last
10.5¢ |
Change
0.011(11.7%) |
Mkt cap ! $40.41M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
9.4¢ | 11.0¢ | 9.4¢ | $78.36K | 781.4K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 25000 | 9.7¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
10.5¢ | 30192 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 25000 | 0.097 |
2 | 292770 | 0.095 |
1 | 892 | 0.094 |
2 | 87093 | 0.092 |
1 | 25000 | 0.089 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.105 | 30192 | 1 |
0.110 | 190218 | 3 |
0.115 | 107906 | 2 |
0.120 | 27410 | 1 |
0.125 | 40649 | 1 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 07/08/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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