UCM in the AFR, page-151

  1. 1 Posts.
    Just regarding this bit:
    "...but it's for those that show moderate to severe symptoms.. Which in percentage terms, not that much..."

    Various sources are quoting a 15% rate of moderate to severe symptoms. This letter of warning to the international medical community from Italian doctors states 10% require the ICU. https://mailchi.mp/esicm/the-future-of-haemodynamic-monitoring-first-webinar-of-the-year-1009715

    Here is some modelling about the projected number of cases, how this could play out.
    TLDR; 10% of half a billion = 50 million people requiring ICU by mid year.
    https://nevinsresearch.com/blog/straightforward-calculations-covid-19/

    Lets hope these models are wrong.
 
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