PAR 12.7% 31.0¢ paradigm biopharmaceuticals limited..

Valuation and Targets, page-333

  1. 1,048 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 531
    Here we go
    202020212,02220232024202520262027

    1234567
    Revenue

    62006200620062006200

    450450450450450450450
    revenue discounted @ 15% pa




    sum

    382.53254084347129512508213215853

    It is a matter of judgement what the GP % would be. However it may be necessary to give Bene a royalty, but we could be looking at 40% after that and allowing for continuing R&D.
    The other issue is at what point does the market look at revenue in the same way as the other Ozy growth stocks (APT etc) after the COVID chaos.
    I am thinking the market will assess PAR on a similar basis to APT because they can see the market size.
    At the very least there is an outlook potential of 700m revenue over two years from TGA starting end 2Q 2021.
    40% GP of that gives what EPS? If only that GP was given 20x markup for potential, we get 280*20=$5.6B which i think comes to
    >$20 share. IMO only DYOR.
    Last edited by ceviche: 06/04/20
 
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