BBUS, page-2024

"the best indicator is the number of deaths as a proportion of total resolved cases"

You are betting your money and spreading statistical claims to others who are betting money. Both of those require a serious assessment of the statistics, not just choosing one headline number. Statistics lie, especially to non-experts. Anyway, here's another data point: The University of Washington project that, assuming social distancing continues, the deaths per day will fall below 100 by May 18. I've been following their curve, and it has been reasonably accurate. Mouse over the graph to get the daily projections:

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america