PAR 4.55% 23.0¢ paradigm biopharmaceuticals limited..

PharmD price target fun, page-36

  1. 4,278 Posts.
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    Well company estimates are around:

    OA = $9 Billion Revenue at 10% penetration (years from now) (my own estimate for penetration is higher than this but want to go conservative, see this post ---> PENETRATION PART 1)

    MPS = $1.4 Billion, not as many years from now but still some time to ramp (my own estimate is prob a bit less...)
    RRV/Chik. = Prob around a few hundred million at peak...let's go conservative and say $100 Mil at peak, prob also in a few years time (still gotta do another trial I think), a distribution deal/deal with DOD will dilute the ultimate revenue on this but it will still be additive.

    Put that altogether with a distribution deal (15-20% for us with upfront payment)....At peak..prob around $50 + a share is realistic in what, 6/7 years? I'd like to be pleasantly surprised with more than this sooner but better to err on the conservative side when throwing figs out there - but I think that's a fairly realistic estimate with some hurdles built in...a little fat built in... keep your darned fingers crossed that there is no *&%)+? take over so we actually get to these heights and more one day.

    No real extra points Im adding for other jurisdictions and indications, could conceivably be many and will add magnitudes but Im not adding even a $1 into this exercise.

    Pie in the sky at this stage but you asked.

    DYOR is best.

    Last edited by Mozzarc: 24/04/20
 
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