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Brazil death toll forecast to top 125,000: IHME

Timothy Moore

The virus is having a devastating impact on Brazil and the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation is projecting 125,833 deaths in the South American nation by early August.

The projection was made in a review of the impact of the virus on Brazil, Cuba, Honduras, Japan, Russia and Serbia.

The new projection for Brazil is 42 per cent higher than the IHME's first projection released on May 12.

"Many Brazilian states are experiencing demands for hospital resources surpassing their current capacities, with predicted trends potentially worsening in the coming weeks.

"Such gaps between what COVID-19 patients need in terms of hospital beds, and in particular ICU beds, are particularly large in Amapá, Amazonas, Ceará, Pará, and Pernambuco.

"Estimated infections appear to exceed testing rates in most of the currently included states in Brazil, underscoring a vital need to rapidly scale up COVID-19 testing. This is especially important given the country’s escalating death toll and health system strains."