TIM 0.00% 4.4¢ timbercorp limited

what the hell is wrong with this stock, page-10

  1. 2,123 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 1
    yes, but irrespective of plight of equity or hybrid prices, the fact remains (does it not) that TIMPB=4 times TIM on exchange in Sep09; Please comments as I am unsure why this is not obvious. I look forward to being corrected if I am seeing this wrong,

    Noting conversion is 4:1 max for TIM/TIMPB

    If TIM = say 10 cents (today's price), TIMPB is worth 40 cents (and this does not take into account the 13.5 cents fully franked dividends);

    So, mathematically (and disregarding the dividends), you could buy TIMPB today at 30 cents and sell short 3 TIM at 10 cents;

    Neglecting interest coupon 13.5 cents fully franked,
    at TIM=zero, payout is ZERO (breakeven)
    at TIM=20 cents, payout is -30 cents on short TIM and plus 80 cents value on conversion-+50 cents
    at TIM=50 cents, payout is -$1.20 on short TIM and $2.00 on TIMPB exchange=+80 cents
    at TIM=70 cents, payout=-$1.80 on shorts and plus $2.00 on exchange = +20 cents
    at 80 cents, payout=-$2.10 on CFD short and plus $2.00 on exchange = -$0.10

    Note also you can stop out of short prior to major rally. You could change hedge ration to suit.

    Comments welcome
 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add TIM (ASX) to my watchlist

Currently unlisted public company.

arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.