I cannot help but think that VLT got the better end of the deal and we are overpaying for VLT.
Does anyone here think there is a chance that the deal may be renegotiated?
It is interesting to me that the arbitrage gap hasn’t yet closed.
I mean, I can theoretically buy 10,000 of DTC now for $14,935 by buying 29,000 VLT.
Yet, if I wanted to buy 10,000 DTC directly, I have to pay $16,400.
That is a gap of $1,465 which is almost a 10% discount.
This tells me that the market thinks that there is a substantial risk that DTC may pull out of this acquisition, and there is a substantial risk in holding VLT.
And why would DTC pull out if they scored a good buy?
This is why I am forming a conclusion that the market thinks that DTC could have overpaid, and could possibly pull out or renegotiate the offer.
Thoughts anyone? I have shares in both, so not too fussed - but obviously want to understand the transaction and the arbitrage a lot better.
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