AT1

4.55%

2.3¢ atomo diagnostics limited

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Soul13

520 Posts.

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17/09/20

15:10

Post #: 47422563
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Originally posted by danhoff: ↑

I can only pick out metrics that have become known. And Canaccord have a broker review. It appears based on all I can see that Atomo is profitable right now. It appears they will make (according to me) about a $9 mill ebitda for this fin year. They are profitable. Canaccord think they will make 1 cent eps this year. And I think they went as far as 2 cents for Jul21-Jun22.

That is the problem with a growth stock. You cannot value it based on where it is today or even what you think next year. You have to project out a few years using sales and margins.

I have not read the IPO document. But note that post IPO the share rocketed and settled in the 50s. Now I dont know why Mr Market thought it worth 50s. Then, of course, it ground down, and settled in the low to mid 30s. But that was before a heap of good news on contracts and even financials good news.

It is really impossible to value the share. Note that the auto share pricing app called Simply Wall Street projected growth of 85% over three years and declare the value OVER $2 per share.

My ballpark 'guess' is the value of the share should be around 40 cents. How do I pick an ebitda for 21/22. Can I 'guess' $20 mill. That is really the bottom end, according to 'me'. So, I will say a growth stock with ebitda at $20 mill does deserve a market cap of over $200 mill. 40 cents is about there.

Now if eps in 21/22 is indeed 2 cents, well, for a growth stock, a PE of 20 is OK - and again you get your 40 cents.

But, that is assuming all goes OK. And, of course, if all goes BETTER than OK, then the price can be much more. It all depends on the volume of sales - the markets that can be accessed for the device.

Honestly, it all looks great. But who knows the future. Again, Atomo cannot be valued on what you see only today or this month or next month.

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Well, I guess the problem is everything looks great except the share price
It's has been in a downward trend since reporting day and shows no signs of reversal
I don't know if there are any other growth stocks that are traded this way...
I guess this gives the investors no confidence about the stock and I THINK it stops other investors to jump onto the AT1 boat
we are now very close to 34.5 which before the quarterly report and Access Bio ANN were made...
And this is given we had a great FY20 and are very likely to be profitable in FY21

AT1 Price at posting: 35.5¢ Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Held
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(20min delay)
Last 2.3¢		Change 0.001(4.55%)		Mkt cap ! $14.70M

Open	High	Low	Value	Volume
2.3¢	2.3¢	2.3¢	$1.039K	45.19K

Buyers (Bids)

No.	Vol.	Price($)
5	224074	2.2¢

Sellers (Offers)

Price($)	Vol.	No.
2.4¢	165930	3

View Market Depth

No.	Vol.	Price($)
5	224074	0.022
2	266255	0.021
8	975507	0.020
3	132683	0.019
1	55553	0.018

Price($)	Vol.	No.
0.024	165930	3
0.025	384755	4
0.026	390045	2
0.027	398550	2
0.028	100000	1

Last trade - 11.58am 09/08/2024 (20 minute delay)

AT1 (ASX) Chart

Buckle up for $1, page-392

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Buckle up for $1, page-392

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