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02/11/20
11:24
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Originally posted by jumbie:
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I think we are looking also at a tech pullback to the 50% level, before moving and onwards again. If so then $1.13 achievable fairly soon. From an emotional perspective there will be concerns about launch failure, commissioning and quality of data - some people will take their money out and buy back in later if this all works as promised. The price differential will be their "insurance" cost. I know a few folk have cited the benefits of 4 satellite clusters over 3 for accuracy etc. and I totally get that. But would that also mean that you have a higher risk of failure? If you only need 1 to fail then would that risk not rise the more satellites you stick in a cluster? I'm not trying to be a negative Nelly (we hold a fair bundle of these and I am not thinking about selling, and I'm willing to pay more than Jan did!), I would like some informed feedback as to whether I am correct or not in my assertions. Perhaps satellite failure rates are so rare it doesn't matter.
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I guess you could say that 4/10 would fail, however, note that the 41.3% figure is not all complete failure, that is 24.2% of the 41%. Actual complete failure is roughly 8-9% of all small sats launches.
Last edited by
Aven :
02/11/20