TWE treasury wine estates limited

What if China ban Australia Wine?, page-144

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    The challenge for TWE is that their growth is massively leveraged to China, and they have little organic / alternative growth coming from elsewhere. So 3% dividend yields in perpetuity with limited growth isn't something people are willing to pay for. A back of the envelope estimate of intrinsic value that I did had TWE at $7 ex China for 3-5 years, despite the amazing brand of Penfolds and the $2bn of assets it puts on their balance sheet. Unfortunately, I think the non-verbal "announcements" will play heavily on TWE for some time, as they have been caught in the geo political crosshairs.
 
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Last
$7.53
Change
-0.040(0.53%)
Mkt cap ! $6.110B
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$7.55 $7.58 $7.39 $49.44M 6.594M

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No. Vol. Price($)
3 12044 $7.51
 

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Price($) Vol. No.
$7.55 3086 2
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