MQG 3.59% $223.20 macquarie group limited

target $19 +, page-37

  1. 681 Posts.
    Hey LOPEZ

    There's no direct link, but I do think it's a good proxy for what does matter: confidence in the US financial system. I think uncertainty about Credit Default Swaps are still depressing the market. If the US stops supporting AIG, then the whole financial system collapses from what I read. The CDS market is estimated at 60-70 trillion. So a failure would be 50 times worse than the sub-prime crisis.

    That's why no one wants to own a bank. I'm not sure what exposure MQG has, but even if it has zero exposure, the price could easily fall $10 if that kind of collapse happened. Where I differ with the doomsayers, is in assessing how likely it is to happen. I personally think it's below a 1% chance, whereas they all talk as if they're clairvoyant and know the future with 100% certainty.

    Z
 
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$223.20
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$222.02 $226.23 $220.61 $290.8M 1.304M

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