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08/11/20
07:46
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Originally posted by Scott th Ratbag
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Ok Billy..... the word "reservoir" is the key. You no doubt recall Andrews protestations when Morrison was telling the states to relax restrictions? Andrews said clearly that they had only just got the infection rate down but testing had shown there were still people carrying the infection, according to medical advice. He protested that he didn't want "millions of kids driving all over the state" carrying the infection to schools.
Well that proved to be the case. NSW also continued to have a few flare-ups of infection hotspots for months after. But the reservoir, or pool of community infections in Vic was larger by far than NSW. This is because the shut-down had not been long enough to be certain that the reservoir of infections had been identified.
Further, people would be traveling inter-state due to the relaxed travel restrictions and he couldn't guarantee that the infection reservoir wouldn't spread. And this is exactly what happened.
The Hotel quarantine situation was not the cause of the second wave, merely the media target for conservatives. This coincided with the spread from the reservoir of infection spreading throughout the community.
I wrote abut this at the time and also several other times, including a few posts between you and me.
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Brett Sutton said 99% of the second wave came from the hotel quarantine program. That fact is disputed by no one. The epidemiology and genomic sequencing done independently by the Dougherty Institute confirm this. It is irrefutable fact.
You are living in a parallel universe.