Y will be popular, but not sure if it will be as popular as 3 (just personal pov). What's needed now is a cheap mod 2..
Re time to reach 30% ICE - I've made many predictions the past few years, but reality always overshoots.. So, now I think major European markets will get to 50% EV/HEV this year, with total ICE segment going sub 30% 2023-24. And yet, I wouldn't be too surprised if reality overshoots again..
Looking back at some of the early discussions on this thread, just 1 1/2 years ago, shows how far we have come in that time (and how incredibly wrong some were).
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