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$2.65 american pacific borates limited

Ann: ABR Corporate Presentation - February 2021, page-27

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Billypaddington

785 Posts.

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07/02/21

05:50

Post #: 50769206
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Originally posted by kingpin: ↑

This is from the latest MST Access research report on the company website

"To understand the true potential value of ABR and its underlying asset, we can have a glimpse at the future and apply the current EV multiples to full phase 3 production EBITDA, which we estimate at US$460m. We estimate this EBITDA to occur in CY2030. On an EV/EBITDA multiple of 11.5x, the implied EV of $US5.4b equates to a share price is A$18.30. Applying a time value discount of 50% and our risk discount for Phase 3 of 50%, an adjusted EV/EBITDA valuation is A$4.57."

A lot can change between now and 2030 and depends on project financing, dilution, pricing, etc, etc, hence why the time value and risk discount they have adopted

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So in 7 yrs the share price could be anywhere inbetween $5 and $20?

I wonder if they took into account a resource upgrade together with increasing demand and price for product.

nope

ABR Price at posting: $1.76 Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
1 Upvote

0 Great analysis

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