BTA 0.00% 57.0¢ biota holdings limited

questions on lani

  1. 3,045 Posts.
    Just fishing for opinions here... grateful for responses.

    1) Does anyone think LANI could get accelerated approval in FDA based on the Japanese trials? This latest one used a whopping 1500 patients. If not straight approval, perhaps allowing the drug to skip phase II?

    2) Does anyone know if the ROW license is a 50:50 split? I've seen analyst reports mentioning this, however commentary in announcements keep using the word "shared" rather than shared equally.

    3) Given the market is confirmed blockbuster, what kind of royalty/milestone payments could we expect? I've seen cancer drugs get USD1bn upfront and up to 50% royalties. Is this feasible for LANI?

    - Example, if fixed costs for LANI is $5 per pack, variable costs $1 per pack and Licensee profit margin is $5 per pack then a 50% royalty would put the price at $22 per pack. The larger the market the lower the fixed cost allocation per unit and higher the licensee profit margin. Alternatively they could just charge a higher price for the better drug keeping the licensee profit margin constant per dose.
 
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