Copper Peer Comparisons (Undeveloped Projects, Ore Reserves, PFS or FS), page-23

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    With a thinning copper project pipeline in Australia, in my opinion, all 4 of these undeveloped copper projects with JORC Ore Reserves will get up (even Hillside).

    Dr Giles parting words.jpg

    The following table articulates why Havilah has the best risk-reward equation across the undeveloped Australian copper peer comparison for the ASX listed mining junior pack: Kalkaroo is number 1 or 2 in most categories (particularly where it counts: NPV and IRR).

    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5
    1          
    2          
    3          
    4 PROJECT: Kalkaroo Hillside Sulphur Springs Jervois
    5 Project funding in place? No No No No
    6 Primary commodity Copper-gold Copper-gold Copper-zinc Copper
    7 ASX Company HAV RXM VXR KGL
    8 Copper JORC Ore Reserve: Proved 430Kt (90%) 260Kt (51%)    
    9 Copper JORC Ore Reserve: Probable 44Kt (10%) 249Kt (49%) 119Kt (100%) 226Kt (100%)
    10 NPV (pre-tax) A$M $903 $751 $472 $177
    11 IRR (pre-tax) 26% # N/A 51% 23.0%
    12 IRR (post-tax) 21% # 16.2% N/A N/A
    13 Discount rate 7.5% (2019) 5% (2020) 8% (2018) 8% (2020)
    14 A$/US$ rate 0.75 0.70 0.72 0.71
    15 Copper price US$3.10/lb US$3.00/lb US$2.86/lb US$3.08/lb
    16 Gold price US$1,500/oz US$1,550/oz N/A US$1,850/oz
    17 Zinc price N/A N/A US$2,650/tonne N/A
    18 Silver price N/A N/A N/A US$22.80/oz
    19 Waste: Ore ratio 3.5:1 6.7:1 (after pre-strip) 8.7:1 4.9:1
    20 Life of mine minimum 13 years initial 12 years initial 10.3 years initial 7.5 years
    21 Location from port 350 km 150 km 144 km 1,700 km
    22          
    23 Any other copper project? Mutooroo No Whims Creek, WA No
    24 Any other mineral projects? Grants Basin (Fe), South Australia Hog Ranch (Gold), USA No No
    # IRR is based on original Kalkaroo 18 June 2019 PFS long-term copper price of US$2.89/lb and gold price US$1,200/oz.

    Three of these copper juniors in Australia are still very much undervalued compared to their copper project’s NPV.

    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3
    1      
    2      
    3      
    4   % of NPV (pre-tax) Market cap A$M ##
    5 Havilah 7% $63
    6 Rex Minerals 9% $66
    7 Venturex 9% $41
    8 KGL 87% $154
    ## As of last Friday.

    The irony, Jervois project has the lowest NPV but KGL Resources Limited has the highest market capitalisation.

    Copper futures (Mar'21) currently US$4.12/lb. That is definitely not factored into the current share price for the likes of HAV, VXR or RXM.

    Cheers

    These are only my thoughts and it does not constitute investment advice. Before acting on any information you read and before making any financial or investment decisions, you should always consult your advisor(s) or other relevant professional experts.
    Last edited by Clark888: 22/02/21
 
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